​â¶Ä‹The impact of a single individual in an epidemic​
​â¶Ä‹Many policy responses to infectious diseases involve behavior changes, either by encouragement or through restriction.  Often these are associated with penalties/rewards to produce behavior change.  When designing a policy, ethical considerations suggest that the penalties/rewards for an action should be proportional to the harm/benefit to others resulting from that action.  In this talk, Dr Joel Miller will explore the expected impact on the final size of an epidemic of a single individual changing behavior as well as the combined impact of a group.  Due to the convexity of the final size relation, the marginal benefit of an individual changing behavior to prevent transmission is ¹û¶³´«Ã½Ó°Òô if others are also taking actions to prevent transmission, this benefit is largest with the reproduction number is close to 1.​
Speaker
​â¶Ä‹, Associate Professor of Mathematics & Statistics at La Trobe University​
Please note the speaker will be remote.
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